For the sake of balance, I need to acknowledge that Architecture and Design, the Australian construction industry trade magazine whose article on speedy modular construction so offended me with its poor reporting, also carries some very informative, very well targeted articles.
Where robots and computers look set to take Australian construction jobs
takes a look at two reports which examine the future of occupations. The University of Oxford report ‘The Future of Employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?’ quantified the vulnerability of 702 occupations in terms of their likelihood to be replaced by various forms of computerisation, including robotics and increasingly sophisticated data exchange. The research considered factors such as the degree of manual dexterity, originality, social perceptiveness and negotiation skills required in the role.
The A+D article filters this report for what it can tell us about jobs in the construction industry specifically. The results are surprising,, or perhaps not. The rating scale for vulnerability goes from 0 to 1, with 1 representing extremely high vulnerability.
The most remarkable contrast is between a variety of skilled building trades, and most of the creative and engineering professionals. The only safe thing you can infer is that there will be a continuing need for those at the front end, initiating projects. Strongly implied is that this is contingent on those professionals acquiring the skills to use the digital tools which drive increasingly automated processes of manufacture and assembly.
Access be A&D article here:
The Future of Work: Jobs and Skills in 2030 can be found here.